NWS ALERT
View ops →
🔥
Wildfire alert
View wildfire intel →
Avalanche advisory
View ski cams →
🚨
Road alert
View road intel →
🌧
STORM RADAR
TAP FOR DETAILS →
🌩️
TRACKING ACTIVE CELLS
VIEW TRACKER →
Thunderstorm risk detected
View Storm Engine →

Truckee, CA

Lat 39.328, Lon -120.183

Crew Status
Acquiring conditions
Pulling live data from 8 weather models…

Drop a pin on the map or enter a ZIP code below for precise callout data.

Favorites · One-Click Forecast
Forecast locked · all sections updated · ★ save in the elevation panel below
View full warning →
Or tap anywhere on the map
Pick a spot — we'll auto-detect the elevation and snap the forecast there.
Tap to drop · Pinch / scroll to zoom
Zoom 5 · REGIONAL
Elevation — ftauto-detected Optional. Sets the temperature lapse rate so the forecast matches your exact elevation — better snow-stick predictions.

⚡ Crew Command

Live decisions.

CREWGO · CAUTION · STAND DOWN · live operational decision grid
OPERATIONS LOADING… · 0 conditions · 0 GREEN · 0 AMBER · 0 STAND-DOWN · tap to view + adjust
Computing…

Moisture vs your thresholds · next 7 days

Forecast loading…
GREEN · workable AMBER · with care RED · stop Forecast curve

Backcheck · past 5 days · what really happened

Tap a day to log GO / LIMITED / NO-GO · learning loop active
You worked Limited / late start Stood down Not yet logged

Field Charts · 9-source ensemble · cumulative rain + wind

Two operational charts updated every load from the same Open-Meteo ensemble. Cumulative rain over 7 days drives the mud-delay decision; sustained wind + gust spikes drive the equipment-down call. Click any model to compare its prediction against the ensemble.

Compare a model →
Building 7-day rain ladder…
Building wind + gust trace…
Defaults · not yet customized

Personal preferences · saved on this device. Cross-device sync + community-learned recommendations coming in Phase 2.

Right now.

Live conditions · refresh every 5 min
High
Low
More details
Feels Like
Wind mph
Gust mph
peak hr
Humidity
Precip 24h
in
Snow 24h
tmw —
Air Quality
UV Index

Next 16 days. Daily detail.

9-model ensemble · physics-corrected
View
Compare a single model →
Building 16-day chart…
Loading 16-day forecast…

Daily highs/lows and precipitation are averaged across 4 global weather models. Snow accumulation is then physics-corrected against hourly air temp and soil temperature — Open-Meteo's raw snowfall is reclassified as rain when ground or air is too warm to hold snow.

Next 24 hours. Hour by hour.

384-hr extended track
Overlay
⚡ Forecast Refinement Engine Loading…
★★★★
0–18 HR
HRRR · 3 KM
Highest resolution · hourly model runs
★★★
18–60 HR
NBM · 3 KM
National Blend of Models · 6-hourly
★★
60+ HR
GFS · ECMWF
Global ensemble · 25 km · daily runs
MODEL
Composite precipitation analysis pending…
Waiting on local sensor + upstream signals.
GROUND TRUTH
Aggregating stations…
Loading 24-hour curve…

Curve above = next 24 hours · Track below = scroll right for the full 16-day hourly forecast — every hour, with temp, chance of precip, and inches of rain or snow when it's coming.

Loading hourly…

Live radar + Futurecast.

Real-time + 18-hr forecast · pinch to zoom on mobile
LIVE Loading...
Storm tracker · upstream view of incoming weather

Upstream Polling · Real-time confirmation

Upstream Polling.

Forecast radar above + verify storm tracking upstream stations · We confirm every storm.

Loading live conditions…

Auto-refreshes every minute · last update —just now

FORECAST Loading...

NOAA Radar Loop

radar.weather.gov
NOAA Pacific Southwest regional radar · CA + NV · last 1 hour

GOES-18 Satellite · GeoColor

NOAA NESDIS
GOES-18 Northern Pacific GeoColor satellite

GOES-18 Infrared · Cloud Tops

NOAA NESDIS Band 13
GOES-18 Infrared Band 13 · cloud top temperatures · night-capable

HD Radar: RainViewer 5-min composites · NWS loop refreshes every 10 min · Satellite every 5 min · Pinch to zoom on mobile

Storm Forecast Engine · Thunderstorm Physics

72 hours out. Hour by hour.

72 HOURSRadar + storm cells
🟢
Computing atmospheric instability…
Pulling 16-day CAPE / Lifted Index from the storm engine cache.
Watching · 72 hr
⚡ Live Atmospheric Instability Tracker
Peak Score
72 hr
Peak CAPE
J/kg
Peak LI
Lifted index
Loading 72-hour outlook…
None · 0–19 Marginal · 20–39 Moderate · 40–59 Severe · 60–79 Extreme · 80+
Composite Thunder Score formula · 5-model ensemble
Per-hour ensemble mean of CAPE, Lifted Index, CIN, precip prob across GFS · GFS-HRRR · ICON · ECMWF · Météo-France (WMO weather code = max across models). Score = CAPE (0–40 pts · J/kg ÷ 62.5) + Lifted Index (0–30 pts · −LI × 5) + Precip Prob (0–20 pts · prob × 0.2) + WMO storm codes 95–99 (+30 pts) − CIN suppression (0 to −20 pts · CIN ÷ 10). Capped at 100. Score is then modified by the Heavy Logic Engine (humidity charge × lapse rate × trigger × bulk shear). Confidence strip below the chart shows CAPE spread across models — narrow = agreement, wide = uncertainty. Sources: Open-Meteo hourly multi-model atmospheric reanalysis · refreshed every 30 min.
Physics Rules · Live Status

Sierra Season · Past + Outlook

State of the season.

SEASON5-year revolving snowpack + 90-day NOAA CPC / ECMWF S5 outlook · past + future on one surface

Where we've been · 5-year revolving

California Department of Water Resources / CDEC measurements from automated SWE (snow water equivalent) sensors across the Sierra Nevada. Compares to historical April 1 average. The chart updates daily.

Sierra SWE · Season Trend Chart

Open-Meteo archive · 5 winters · live
Pulling 7 winters of snow-depth archive for Northern, Central, and Southern Sierra…
CDEC Live Sensors CDEC Snow Survey NRCS SNOTEL · CA NOAA NOHRSC SWE Map

What's coming · 90-day outlook

SEASONAL90-day jet stream · CPC + ECMWF S5
Sierra Seasonal Forecast · Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center + ECMWF Seasonal System 5

What the authorities say.

NOAA CPC official →
CPC Temp Outlook · 3-MoEqual ChancesNOAA Climate Prediction Center 90-day temperature outlook for the Sierra Nevada · No strong lean
CPC Precip Outlook · 3-MoAbove NormalNOAA CPC precipitation outlook leans wetter than average for Northern California · Atmospheric river setup favored
ENSO StateLa Niña WatchNOAA CPC ENSO blog · Cool ENSO-neutral to weak La Niña expected · Historical mixed signal for Sierra
ECMWF S5 · SierraWet LeanEuropean Centre Seasonal System 5 ensemble · Probability of above-median Dec-Feb precip ~55% in Sierra

What this actually means for the Sierra: The two most authoritative seasonal forecasting systems — NOAA CPC and ECMWF S5 — both lean toward a wetter-than-normal winter for Northern California, with neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions expected. La Niña winters in the Sierra are notoriously unpredictable: the storm track gets pushed north toward Washington and Oregon, but when atmospheric river events do dip south, they often deliver outsized snowfall to Tahoe and the Donner Summit corridor.

What to plan for if you're a snow-removal crew: Don’t assume a quiet winter just because La Niña is forecast. Three of the last six La Niña winters delivered above-average Sierra snowfall, including the historic 2022–23 season. Budget for a normal-to-active season, pre-position equipment by mid-November, expect February-March to be the busiest months, and plan for an extended spring melt running into early summer.

What to plan for if you ski: The forecasts above are probabilities, not predictions. Snowfall in the Sierra is dominated by the timing of a handful of large atmospheric river events each winter. Even a "below normal" forecast season can deliver one or two season-saving storms. Watch the 16-day Open-Meteo forecast above for AR signals.

Authority note: NOAA CPC outlooks have a documented 50–60% skill score for Sierra winter precipitation forecasts at the 3-month range. ECMWF S5 ensemble offers similar skill. Cross-reference both before committing to seasonal plans. The CPC outlook updates monthly on the third Thursday — the figures above reflect the most recent issued outlook.

Road Intelligence

Chain control. Live traffic.

ROADCaltrans D3 · I-80, SR-89, SR-267 · live CCTV
Querying Caltrans CCTV network…
View

Incidents + Closures

Loading active road incidents…

Wildfire Intelligence

Smoke before fire. Eyes on the ridge.

WILDFIREALERTCA + CAL FIRE · live
Querying ALERTCalifornia camera network…
Radius View

Active Incidents

Loading active wildfire incidents…

Ski + Avalanche Intelligence

Mountain conditions. Live.

SKIPalisades Tahoe · live webcams
4 live webcams from Palisades Tahoe · powered by Ozolio
Palisades Base
6,200 ft · Village
LIVE
Palisades Scope
8,200 ft · Upper Mountain
LIVE
Siberia Bowl
8,000 ft · Back Bowls
LIVE
Alpine Meadows Peak
8,637 ft · Alpine Side
LIVE

Forecast Crosscheck · Multi-model

Forecast Crosscheck.

Pick a model. Pick a day.

CROSSCHECK12 layers · 9 models · 16 days

What we run on the backend with our 9-model ensemble, you can run yourself on the front end. Pick rain, thunder, snow, wind, CAPE — any layer. Pick ECMWF, GFS, ICON, HRRR, NAM — any model. Pick any of the next 16 days. Watch each model diverge or agree. When they all line up, the forecast is solid. When they fan out, you're staring at uncertainty — plan for both.

Layer
Model
View
Zoom
Jump to day · model toggles stay locked to selected day

Live Radar Loop · Animated Approach

Watch it approach.

STORM RADARPast 2 hr + HRRR forecast +12 hr · upstream-polling frontal detection · 5-min refresh
Time until arrival
awaiting upstream signal
Intensity
Confidence
CLEAR
Direction
light moderate heavy
STORM INTELLIGENCE REPORT
INCOMING SYSTEM
ARRIVAL FORECAST
IMPACT ASSESSMENT
TRACKING · STATION CHAIN

Local Sensor Network · Ground Truth Layer

Live observations. Within 50 miles.

PWS50-mi ground-truth · live obs
N STATIONS · MEDIAN AT YOUR ELEVATION

A median of forty-seven stations beats a three-kilometre grid average. Every time.

Querying live stations…

Upstream polling. Ground truth.

60+ stations confirm every storm · frontal + 500 mb steering

Upstream eyes. A storm is the wind that carries it. Walk that wind backward.

Home base PWS · dry NWS / METAR airport CDEC Sierra network WET Stale · obs > 90 min 50 / 100 / 150 mi range rings
Reading 500 mb steering current…

Forecast Accuracy · Verified Backcheck

What we said. What happened.

BACK-CHECK16-day accuracy · self-correcting learning engine

Every forecast we publish gets backchecked against what actually showed up at the gauge. Gold dashed = what we said. White solid = what actually happened. The colored badge between each pair of points shows the daily miss (Δ): green ≤ 3°F, amber 3–6°F, red > 6°F. Same color scale on the precipitation chart with 0.1″ / 0.3″ thresholds. The learning engine tracks bias per model and applies correction to future forecasts.

vs Raw Model output

Almanac

Sun, moon, historical.

Loading almanac…
"When the wind is in the east, neither good for man nor beast."

Seismic Intelligence

Recent earthquakes. 200 mi radius.

SEISMICUSGS · M2.5+ · auto-refresh 5 min

M3+ within 100 mi can trigger rockfall on Donner Summit, gas-line inspection, and OSHA jobsite check. Sierra sits on active fault lines — watch this card before any morning mobilization.

Loading USGS feed…
Loading recent earthquakes from USGS…
USGS · LIVE
Operational reading ends · technical depth begins

Weather Deep Dive

Forecast accuracy backcheck · almanac with red-sky proverbs · composite thunder score formula · 14-rule physics grid · forecast refinement engine — methodology and lore behind the operational forecast above. Tap to open.

Weather Intelligence Deep Dive Methodology + lore — accuracy ledger · almanac with red-sky proverbs · composite thunder score formula · 14-rule physics grid · forecast refinement engine
Data sources + how this works

Mission

Built so people are informed and stay safe. Off the road during storms. Out of the path of wildfire. Public safety is the standard.

Forecast engines

Open-Meteo serves the spine forecast plus an 8-model ensemble: ECMWF, ECMWF-AI, GFS, ICON (DWD), JMA, GEM, UK Met Office, and CMA. NOAA HRRR refines the next 18 hours at 3 km resolution. NWS gridpoint data layers in NDFD probabilities and active alerts from api.weather.gov.

Composite Thunder Score formula

Per-hour ensemble mean of CAPE, Lifted Index, CIN, and precip probability across GFS, GFS-HRRR, ICON, ECMWF, and Météo-France. Score = CAPE (0–40 pts · J/kg ÷ 62.5) + Lifted Index (0–30 pts · −LI × 5) + Precip Prob (0–20 pts · prob × 0.2) + WMO storm codes 95–99 (+30 pts) − CIN suppression (0 to −20 pts · CIN ÷ 10). Capped at 100. Then modified by the Heavy Logic Engine: humidity charge × lapse rate × trigger × bulk shear. Confidence strip below the chart shows CAPE spread across models — narrow = agreement, wide = uncertainty. Refreshed every 30 minutes.

Composite Precipitation Confidence

Model probability is fused with local PWS observations and upstream confirmation along the reverse 500 mb steering current. Each hour gets one of five labels — CONFIRMED, OBSERVED, WATCH, MODEL, or CLEAR — so you know whether a forecast is just numbers on a screen or actually being seen on the ground.

Local Sensor Network

Live observations come from the NWS station chain (primary), MADIS, NDBC marine buoys (when coastal), and Synoptic Data API (when a public token is configured). Coverage expands automatically (50 → 100 → 150 → 200 mi) when the local network is sparse. Median delta vs the model becomes the network bias correction applied to the next 6 hours of forecast.

Wildfire Intelligence

~1,200 ALERTCalifornia cameras (PG&E + UCSD), live NIFC incidents, CAL FIRE active perimeters, and NASA FIRMS satellite hotspots. Smoke direction is cross-checked against local wind alignment so you see what's coming before the official evacuation order.

Road Intelligence

Caltrans CWWP2 District 3 chain control plus 30+ live highway cameras across I-80, US-50, SR-89, SR-267, SR-28, and US-395. CHP traffic incidents and MagnifEye aggregator round out the road picture. Chain control tiers (R0/R1/R2/R3) surface at the top of the page when conditions warrant.

Ski + Avalanche Intelligence

Live mountain webcams from 25 ski resorts (Tahoe basin + Eastern Sierra + national destinations) plus regional avalanche forecast centers — Sierra Avalanche Center for Tahoe, CAIC for Colorado, NWAC for the Pacific Northwest, and others. 5-tier danger scale: Low → Moderate → Considerable → High → Extreme. Banner alerts fire at Considerable or higher, always with a "View ski cams →" link.

Crew Callout Brain

Every 15 minutes the brain consumes everything above and decides GO / STAGE / STAND-DOWN for snow ops and excavation ops separately. Wildfire ALERT pushes excavation to STAGE; R3 chain control pushes both to STAND-DOWN; HIGH avalanche danger surfaces a coordination advisory with Palisades patrol. Built so the foreman knows before the crew is mobilized in the wrong direction.

Caching + reliability

Every API call is cached with sensible TTLs (forecast 15 min, ensemble 60 min, archive 24 hr). A three-stage rate-limit fallback keeps the page useful even when an upstream API is throttled. Everything is location-agnostic — drop a pin and the entire page reforecasts.

Powered by free open-data weather APIs

Open-Meteo · forecast Open-Meteo · geocoding Open-Meteo · air quality NWS api.weather.gov NOAA Radar Loop NOAA NESDIS GOES NOAA CPC seasonal Zippopotamus ZIP Open-Meteo · 7-yr archive Windy.com map
⚡🌩🔥⛰

Never miss a storm warning

Get 30-minute alerts before severe weather hits your location. Thunderstorms, winter storms, wildfire smoke, chain controls.

or

Browser push notifications are free and instant. SMS alerts coming soon.